NHL expansion is starting to feel a lot less hypothetical, and if Houston or Austin becomes the league’s 33rd team, the Chicago Blackhawks could eventually feel the effects in a very real way.
The NHL has opened a formal process to evaluate expansion into Texas, with billionaire backing, a potential $3.5 billion investment, and Houston sitting at the center of the conversation. Nothing has officially been approved yet, but this is far beyond random expansion chatter.
For Blackhawks fans, the biggest question is not whether Houston would be fun to add to the league. It is what happens when an expansion draft eventually arrives.
That is where Chicago’s rebuild suddenly gets complicated.
Under the recent Vegas and Seattle expansion draft rules, teams protected either seven forwards, three defensemen, and one goalie, or eight total skaters and a goalie. Young players with limited professional experience could be exempt, but the problem for the Blackhawks is timing.
Any expansion team would still need years before actually entering the NHL, and by then, many of Chicago’s best young players could no longer be protected automatically.
Look at the forward group alone. Connor Bedard, Frank Nazar, Anton Frondell, Roman Kantserov, Nick Lardis, Oliver Moore, and Ryan Greene could potentially fill every available forward protection slot.
Then look at the blue line.
Bowen Byram. Artyom Levshunov. Sam Rinzel. Alex Vlasic. Wyatt Kaiser.
If the same rules are used, Chicago could eventually be forced to expose a legitimately good young player. That is the strange downside of building a deep prospect pool correctly. The better your roster becomes, the harder it is to hide everyone when expansion arrives.
Then there is the Central Division question.
Houston or Austin would make obvious geographic sense alongside Dallas, which means the Blackhawks could be looking at another team joining an already difficult division. Colorado, Dallas, Utah, and the rest of the Central already make the playoff path difficult. Adding another well-funded expansion franchise only creates more competition.
And if the NHL goes to 33 teams, it is hard to imagine it staying there for long.
A 34th franchise would create much cleaner conference alignment, and Atlanta and Arizona are among the markets being discussed. Quebec City remains the city many hockey fans want back in the conversation, but for now it does not appear to be near the front of the line.
For Chicago, that matters because a 34th team in the East would likely keep a Texas franchise in the Western Conference, potentially making Houston or Austin a permanent part of the Blackhawks’ divisional future.
There is plenty of time before any of this becomes an actual roster problem, and that is the good news. Kyle Davidson and the Blackhawks would have years to understand the rules, plan around contracts, and decide which parts of this young core absolutely cannot be exposed.
But the conversation is worth starting now.
The Blackhawks spent years building one of the deepest collections of young talent in hockey. If NHL expansion arrives during the middle of this group’s rise, protecting all of it could become one of the most difficult decisions of the entire rebuild.
Who would you protect in a future Blackhawks expansion draft, and more importantly, who would you be willing to leave exposed? Drop your list in the comments.
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Yikes
Who would you want (or NOT want) the Hawks to protect in an expansion draft??
The 34th team will go to Atlanta. Atlanta failed twice because of ownership; not fan support. It’s too early to project a protected list. Like you said it’s four years out.
This is the stupidest idea ever, this is more teams than the NFL or major league baseball.
The eventual result is 36 teams in about a decade. The Hawks should either move to the east or the original six should be its own division. Add one more Canadian team and there could be a Canadian division, sans Toronto and Montreal.