10 Players with WRONG ADPs

10 Players with WRONG ADPs



Matt Harmon is joined by Josh Norris and Hayden Winks to break down 10 players they’re avoiding at their current fantasy football ADP. The trio discusses why each player’s draft cost is too rich, where they would feel comfortable selecting them instead and the biggest risks that could keep them from returning value in 2026 fantasy drafts:

0:00 – Intro
2:50 – Eagles RB Saquon Barkley
7:30 – Bills RB James Cook
14:05 – Commanders WR Terry McLaurin
19:00 – Chargers RB Omarion Hampton
26:35 – Jaguars WR Parker Washington
32:30 – Steelers RB Rico Dowdle
36:40 – Lions TE Sam LaPorta
41:55 – Browns TE Harold Fannin Jr.
47:00 – Packers WR Matthew Golden
52:00 – Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes

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View Comments (20)
  1. The Omarion Hampton skepticism is wild. You guys saw him in 4 games with Joe Alt. Weeks 6 to 13 he was out with a freak ankle injury. He comes back to the worst O Line in the league weeks 14-17. He averaged 13.3 .5 PPR points across 9 games. 14.25 .5 PPR points in 4 games with Joe Alt on the field. 5 total TDs.

    He’s coming into this season with an entirely new O line and Mike McDaniel whose run scheme is more on par with what Hampton did in college.

    You guys always say draft for upside. I think he’s fair value where he’s going in consensus if you extrapolate what he did last year, and there a clear path to top 10 upside.

  2. Agree with most except Dowdle and Golden, they are way off on both those players. Dowdle has his coach, a coach that loves him and went to get him and he will win the starting job for the 3rd time in 3 years on 3 different teams. Be very careful with Warren, no way he's getting more touches than Dowdle. that will end up a 70/30 or 65/35 split in Dowdle's favor. And Golden can be drafted in the LAST round, that's a no brainer if your looking for a potentially huge upside pick at the very end of your draft.

  3. My only problem with the Barkley pick is how many TD’s get snaked in the red zone. Barkley smash 2024 season didn’t even out score his rookie year total fantasy points, so unless he breaks the all time rushing yards record by a lot, his ceiling is capped by all those stupid goedert and Hurts junky TD vultures

  4. Is the (over)hype on Hampton tied an expectation that he will be used like Achane? I've got him around the same spot as Hayden, and as a result I expect to have 0 shares of Hampton this year. I think there's a bigger cliff after the Top 10-11 WRs vs. the 5-6 RBs that go right after Hampton (and I'd definitely rather have Bowers in that pick range).
    The other topic that caught attention was Cleveland players (during Fannin discussion). I don't want any Cardinals at their current ADPs… I don't want any Browns at ANY ADP. Assuming Concepcion is the best of the bunch, what's his most likely outcome? 850 Yds and 6 TDs? No thanks, that's waiver wire fodder.

  5. Absolutely diabolical intro by Matt 🤣🤣🤣 Been following reception perception & underdog content for nearly half a decade at this point. I cannot wait for this new era. Cheers guys, you’ve earned all the success that will come your way

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