An Autopsy of the Winnipeg Jets: The Depth Forwards (+ Recent Additions)
It’s the final addition!
Summer begins so let me know any topics you want me to cover, whether that’s analytics or hockey or Jets. Current or stories from when I worked with NHL teams. Etc.
appreciate the breakdown! It kind of felt like all of our new acquisitions were destined to be healthy scratches or Moose (since the prospects and familiar faces in the bottom 6 all kind of seem better) but it’s nice seeing the numbers confirm the quality in the depth we already have. I wonder if we’ll end up packaging any of them in a trade, since it does seem like we’ve got a *lot* of quality 4th liners.
Also, I’m kind of hoping your projected lineup at the end is a little bit off, because it’d be nice to see more of the younger players start to make their way up the roster. It’s also a little funny and a little sad seeing how the 2C position is still a thorn in our side – I wonder who we’ll buy to slot in there this deadline, lol
> Summer begins so let me know any topics you want me to cover, whether that’s analytics or hockey or Jets. Current or stories from when I worked with NHL teams. Etc.
Any and all stories from your time with NHL teams and their varying approaches and thoughts on analytics would be great! Those are always interesting to hear about.
Another option that I don’t know if you’d be able to do or have the data for given it’s SHL: I would love a breakdown on Salomonsson’s role on Skellefteå in terms of ice time/responsibilities, performance etc – maybe with some info about how he’s looked at development camp and such so far. I know he was on the top pairing for the championship team in one of the best non-NHL leagues in the world, but I’d love more detail on exactly what his role was and how he fared. Like, how hype should I be?
DannyDOH
I’d be pretty disappointed if Kupari is on the NHL roster ahead of any of….Gus, Toninato, AJF.
I haven’t seen someone do more skating and never get near the puck.
choicestk
Sounds like the Jets won a lot of games last year because they had a defensive structure that was good (not great) and a superior goaltending tandem. Also they have good depth at forward which results in a mismatch with most teams.
Analytics topics:
Looking at Stamkos moving to the Predators and moving away from an elite playmaker like Kucherov how much do elite goal scorers decline/ regress when move on / lose a top play driver? Nasville looks like they won the off-season but are the key offensive players (Stamkos, Marchessault, O’Reilly, Josi) due to regress or be impacted by age (all are 33 or older)?
What is the age curve / decline for players – I know 30+ is the key number but how much does each year impact the decline. Looking at forwards primarily but is it different for defensemen. Was curious how much decline we could see in Lowry, Scheifele, Niederreiter etc.
I was looking at Kyle Connor’s career goal numbers and it looks like about 62% of his career goals are 5 v 5 – 10 ot goals, 24 empty net goals, 58 power play goals – 92 / 241 (62%). What percentage of NHL forwards goals are 5 v 5? What do the numbers look like for a top 6 forward. I am just curious if Connor’s goal scoring numbers are inflated or if this is a normal breakdown for top 6 forwards type of players or an outlier? Also do his numbers support the eventual 10+ million dollar contract he will probably get either from the Jets or another team?
3 Comments
appreciate the breakdown! It kind of felt like all of our new acquisitions were destined to be healthy scratches or Moose (since the prospects and familiar faces in the bottom 6 all kind of seem better) but it’s nice seeing the numbers confirm the quality in the depth we already have. I wonder if we’ll end up packaging any of them in a trade, since it does seem like we’ve got a *lot* of quality 4th liners.
Also, I’m kind of hoping your projected lineup at the end is a little bit off, because it’d be nice to see more of the younger players start to make their way up the roster. It’s also a little funny and a little sad seeing how the 2C position is still a thorn in our side – I wonder who we’ll buy to slot in there this deadline, lol
> Summer begins so let me know any topics you want me to cover, whether that’s analytics or hockey or Jets. Current or stories from when I worked with NHL teams. Etc.
Any and all stories from your time with NHL teams and their varying approaches and thoughts on analytics would be great! Those are always interesting to hear about.
Another option that I don’t know if you’d be able to do or have the data for given it’s SHL: I would love a breakdown on Salomonsson’s role on Skellefteå in terms of ice time/responsibilities, performance etc – maybe with some info about how he’s looked at development camp and such so far. I know he was on the top pairing for the championship team in one of the best non-NHL leagues in the world, but I’d love more detail on exactly what his role was and how he fared. Like, how hype should I be?
I’d be pretty disappointed if Kupari is on the NHL roster ahead of any of….Gus, Toninato, AJF.
I haven’t seen someone do more skating and never get near the puck.
Sounds like the Jets won a lot of games last year because they had a defensive structure that was good (not great) and a superior goaltending tandem. Also they have good depth at forward which results in a mismatch with most teams.
Analytics topics:
Looking at Stamkos moving to the Predators and moving away from an elite playmaker like Kucherov how much do elite goal scorers decline/ regress when move on / lose a top play driver? Nasville looks like they won the off-season but are the key offensive players (Stamkos, Marchessault, O’Reilly, Josi) due to regress or be impacted by age (all are 33 or older)?
What is the age curve / decline for players – I know 30+ is the key number but how much does each year impact the decline. Looking at forwards primarily but is it different for defensemen. Was curious how much decline we could see in Lowry, Scheifele, Niederreiter etc.
I was looking at Kyle Connor’s career goal numbers and it looks like about 62% of his career goals are 5 v 5 – 10 ot goals, 24 empty net goals, 58 power play goals – 92 / 241 (62%). What percentage of NHL forwards goals are 5 v 5? What do the numbers look like for a top 6 forward. I am just curious if Connor’s goal scoring numbers are inflated or if this is a normal breakdown for top 6 forwards type of players or an outlier? Also do his numbers support the eventual 10+ million dollar contract he will probably get either from the Jets or another team?