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Canucks given a 26% chance to beat the Oilers in round 2, per The Athletic



Canucks given a 26% chance to beat the Oilers in round 2, per The Athletic

by yosoo

39 Comments

  1. Gunmonkey

    They’re shitting in our depth? Our depth is what got us through round 1

  2. Hahaha they say we don’t have depth… Against the fucking *OILERS*!? Immediately invalidates their opinion imo

  3. wintercom

    Omg if we dunk on Dom’s analytics again this round, I’d be so happy.

  4. -T-Reks-

    Media has been fluffing the Oilers since they drafted Hall

  5. TalkinTrash1118

    Isn’t this the same outlet that ranked Quinn 3B?

    The Oilers are favored, but the Canucks are playing with house money. Every win from here is gravy.

  6. De_Floppss

    Love being the underdog, In Silovs we trust

  7. Madundy94

    No star power!?? King Silovs begs to differ.
    ‘Nucks in 7!

  8. Bittroffm

    We have more depth in the crease than the Oilers have all around. We tend to have more fire when playing as the underdog anyways so… Please tell Zaddy, Joshua, and Myers that our chances are slim. Do it! I dare you.

  9. nihilism_ftw

    100% chance Scrabble man can eat my ass

  10. Horvat53

    I don’t care about any of these odds, anything can happen and I’m not going to get caught up on someone’s predictions.

  11. grooverocker

    Hahaha!

    Canucks are going to feast on the Oilers. Certain teams- by virtue of the composition and systems- have an edge or disadvantage against certain other teams.

    Los Angeles vs. Vancouver would be a good example of a team (LA) having a distinct advantage due to their composition and systems.

    Likewise, Vancouver has the edge over the Oilers.

    I firmly believe the Canucks will take this series 4-1 or 4-2 leaving a ton of slack-jawed pundits in their wake.

    ***26% my fucking ass!***

  12. rhino_shit_gif

    Is this the same athletic that rated Quinn Hughes as a 3B defenceman

  13. mephnick

    Really comes down to how the series is called. If the whistles are away we have a big advantage 5v5. If we take a bunch of dumb penalties we’re going to get ventilated. LA’s PK is much better than ours and they got dominated. That is likely a large part of the model’s projection.

    Hopefully this is an oldschool series and the refs let us play.

  14. magoomba92

    Beautiful, I love it!
    No pressure means the guys can play loose and confident.

  15. Ktowncanuck

    I’ve said this a million times. People acting like the oilers already won the series. They’re up against a team who got 109 points in the regular season…..

  16. This is the exact material the canucks need. Love being the underdogs with the 3rd string goalie because this puts the pressure on the oilers.

  17. thirtypineapples

    The Soilers will have some high scoring games but so will we. I think if we go the distance to 7 games we’ll beat them.

    It’s the defensive teams like LA and Nash that have our number. We can shut down McFailure and Schnitzel and let the rest of our team outplay their team.

  18. carry-on_replacement

    Honestly don’t care. We’re underdogs here so let’s go out there and have fun, and play spoiler where we xan

  19. cbcguy84

    We are the underdogs then. No pressure. Just play hard and I guess et the chips fall where they may

  20. Flaky-Calendar-1195

    I love that ALL the pressure is on he oilers. “Cup or bust”

  21. AtilatheNun

    Winning two coin flips seems like an accurate estimate of the odds.

    If coaching staff can come up with a plan to contain mcdrai, the team can execute their plan, and it’s effective, then I’d say we have a solid chance. Add on one of our goalies outplaying playing Skinner, who is hot rn, and I think we have a decisive edge. 

    These are conditional probabilities, so we’d need to get lucky a couple times to have a decisive edge. So winning mutliple coin flips is a good analogy/estimate of the odds imo. One for coaching/execution, and one for goaltending.

  22. LogTman135

    I’m convinced Dom hasn’t watched a minute of Canucks hockey all season. How can you possibly say the Oilers have better depth. The big reason why the Oilers haven’t gotten shit done in the playoffs is because they have no depth.

  23. While I think there’s validity to say we didn’t really see a fair matchup against the oilers this season, they’re underestimating when the Canucks are on a heater and overestimating when the Oilers are not.

    I still probably favour the Oilers slightly in the overall matchup, but it’s definitely not 26% lmao. I think it’s a lot closer to 55-45.

  24. I assume being on our third string goalie vs two of the best scorers in the league is a reason for this.

    The upset is going to be so tasty.

  25. We have the home field advantage, and The Oilers’ defensive game is questionable. So, I think our odds of winning are 50% or greater

  26. PaddyStacker

    That’s absolutely fair. We’re the underdogs in this series guys. We should own it. All the pressure is on Edmonton.

  27. Flanman1337

    Oilers could be down 0-3 in the series, and shit for brains over here would still give them a 70% to win.

  28. I always knew we were going to be underdogs, it makes sense. They have playoff experience. But I think our team is more loose, we weren’t the ones saying “cup or bust” at the start of the season.

    The Oilers are supposed to go deep, we’ve already shattered season expectations. I think that underdog mentality will bode well for the team

  29. Dom Lotsofvowels is relying on angry Canucks fans to click his articles and subscribe to the Athletic. Don’t give him the attention, money or time.

    He saw how badly people reacted to the Hughes ranking and has been milking it for God knows how much it’s worth since.

  30. TylerMyersForNorris

    The model looks and sees we lost our starter, then our back-up, and are now playing our third string goalie. Of course it isn’t going to favour us. The fact that Silovs is playing lights out doesn’t really matter as it’s too small a sample size.

    The Canucks are in a good position to beat these odds even though it’ll be a tough series

  31. Knight_On_Fire

    If the Canucks win game 1 the entirety of Oilers nation will be peeing their pants. Usually game 1 is the least important game but for me it’s the key game in this series because, and I don’t care if every pundit says otherwise, the Canucks have been in their heads all season. Especially Skinner.

    Getting him shaky in the playoffs is actually not that hard. And if he gets outplayed by a 3rd stringer, it could turn into a laffer.

  32. Faldarian

    Did the analyst watch our Nashville series?

    Calling JT Miller our shutdown center is laughably bad.

    While I don’t doubt he will have shifts against McDavid given that he was his daddy all season long, Lindholm is the shut down guy. We have home ice, we have the matchups LA didn’t. We’ll expose their second pair and their depth and get to watch Draibaby get pissy again.

  33. The article is basically discounting all positives Canucks had in the regular season vs the Oilers summing it up as “in the past” while at the same time exaggerating every Oilers positive.

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